Description

This analysis provides a forecast of VET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.014517 0.016418 0.018490 0.020919 0.023691 0.026759 0.030419
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.011701 0.014332 0.017450 0.021431 0.026395 0.032402 0.040256
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.009855 0.012720 0.016310 0.021162 0.027583 0.035837 0.047329
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.008576 0.011549 0.015447 0.020967 0.028637 0.039005 0.054222
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.007608 0.010626 0.014738 0.020799 0.029589 0.042002 0.061082
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.007043 0.010165 0.014572 0.021311 0.031473 0.046411 0.070379
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.006373 0.009470 0.013978 0.021102 0.032224 0.049177 0.077449
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.006036 0.009221 0.013999 0.021787 0.034363 0.054213 0.088584
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.005418 0.008479 0.013190 0.021084 0.034211 0.055579 0.093831
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.004963 0.007947 0.012653 0.020747 0.034593 0.057807 0.100717
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.004476 0.007317 0.011901 0.019975 0.034148 0.058566 0.105061
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.004322 0.007222 0.012010 0.020660 0.036263 0.063932 0.118304
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.004141 0.007069 0.012021 0.021192 0.038196 0.069235 0.132201
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.003963 0.006910 0.012006 0.021679 0.040098 0.074688 0.147090
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.003686 0.006549 0.011602 0.021409 0.040540 0.077406 0.156809
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.003447 0.006236 0.011257 0.021211 0.041090 0.080371 0.167368
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.003234 0.005953 0.010943 0.021041 0.041671 0.083440 0.178495
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.003128 0.005863 0.010980 0.021559 0.043687 0.089640 0.197224
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002941 0.005602 0.010669 0.021348 0.044163 0.092644 0.209109
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002873 0.005567 0.010795 0.022041 0.046624 0.100165 0.232414
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.002656 0.005220 0.010274 0.021330 0.045957 0.100707 0.239112
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.002496 0.004976 0.009940 0.020989 0.046077 0.103023 0.250423
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.002304 0.004654 0.009424 0.020207 0.045122 0.102762 0.255215